{"id":144154,"date":"2026-09-26T05:03:16","date_gmt":"2026-09-26T03:03:16","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/bitcoin-prognose-plus-400-prozent-im-anmarsch-wann-fallen-die-100-000-dollar\/"},"modified":"2026-09-26T05:03:16","modified_gmt":"2026-09-26T03:03:16","slug":"bitcoin-prognose-plus-400-prozent-im-anmarsch-wann-fallen-die-100-000-dollar","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/bitcoin-prognose-plus-400-prozent-im-anmarsch-wann-fallen-die-100-000-dollar\/","title":{"rendered":"Bitcoin Prognose: Plus 400 Prozent im Anmarsch! Wann fallen die 100.000 Dollar?"},"content":{"rendered":"<div>\n<div id=\"attachment_92246\" style=\"width: 1010px\" class=\"wp-caption aligncenter\">\n<p id=\"caption-attachment-92246\" class=\"wp-caption-text\">On-Chain-Daten zeigen: Bitcoin-Anleger sind mehrheitlich im Plus. (KI-Bild: Magnific.com, gritsakelina)<\/p>\n<\/div>\n<p>Bitcoin (BTC) legt binnen 4 Wochen fast 20.000 Dollar zu \u2013 und der Chef des renommierten Analysehauses CryptoQuant sieht die Bullen trampeln: Ein Gewinn von 3x bis 5x sei in diesem Zyklus drin. Das entspricht im Idealfall einem Anstieg um 400 Prozent. Gilt das auch f\u00fcr Altcoins \u2013 oder droht dort am Ende wieder das gro\u00dfe Erwachen?<\/p>\n<h3>Bitcoin: Letztes Mal unter 100.000 Dollar?<\/h3>\n<p>Hebt er endlich ab, der Bitcoin-Kurs \u2013 so richtig und mit Nachdruck? Top-Analyst PlanB, Erfinder des ber\u00fchmten Stock-to-Flow-Modells, spekuliert bereits auf sechsstellige Preise, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/100trillionUSD\/status\/2101979294847164768\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">schreibt auf X<\/a>: \u201eDas letzte Mal, dass Bitcoin unter 100.000 Dollar steht?\u201c. Tats\u00e4chlich demonstriert die Kryptow\u00e4hrung Nummer 1 seit geraumer Zeit St\u00e4rke, kommt auf ein Plus von fast 20.000 Dollar innerhalb der letzten 4 Wochen. Aktueller Kurs: 83.120 Dollar pro BTC. Der gesamte Kryptomarkt ist damit erstmals seit Januar wieder <a href=\"https:\/\/www.bloomberg.com\/news\/articles\/2026-09-22\/bitcoin-leads-crypto-back-above-3-trillion-as-risky-bets-grow\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">mehr als 3 Billionen Dollar<\/a> wert. Analysten und Branchenbeobachter rufen den n\u00e4chsten Bullrun aus, \u201eGier\u201c erfasst die M\u00e4rkte. Aber: Wie stabil ist das Momentum wirklich?<\/p>\n<h3>Prognose: Bitcoin vor 400-Prozent-Rallye<\/h3>\n<p>Eine Antwort liefert Ki Young Ju, Gr\u00fcnder und Chef der s\u00fcdkoreanischen On-Chain-Analysefirma CryptoQuant. Seine Prognose: Der laufende Bullenmarkt bringt das 3- bis 5-fache \u2013 keinen parabolischen Anstieg um den Faktor 10 oder mehr wie in fr\u00fcheren Zyklen, daf\u00fcr aber auch einen deutlich milderen B\u00e4renmarkt im Anschluss, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ki_young_ju\/status\/2102422863596728579\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">so Ju in der Prognose<\/a>. In Dollar gerechnet, ausgehend vom Zyklustief bei 58.525 Dollar: 175.575 Dollar am unteren und sage und schreibe 292.625 Dollar am oberen Ende.<\/p>\n<p>Selbst das Minimal-Szenario l\u00e4ge damit deutlich \u00fcber dem bisherigen Allzeithoch von 126.000 Dollar \u2013 und vom derzeitigen Kurs aus w\u00e4ren das immer noch plus 111 Prozent bis plus 252 Prozent, im besten Fall also mehr als eine Verdreifachung. Jus Begr\u00fcndung st\u00fctzt sich auf On-Chain-Daten \u2013 die zeigen: Bitcoin-Anleger sind mehrheitlich im Plus. Frisches Kapital flie\u00dft ins Netzwerk, die Wale der ersten Stunde haben aufgeh\u00f6rt zu verkaufen. Ein gereifter Bitcoin, so Jus bullishes Fazit, k\u00f6nne \u201edie Welt auf eine Weise umgestalten, die weit \u00fcber das hinausgeht, was man sich vorstellen kann\u201c. 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Hier \u00e4u\u00dfert sich Ju nicht ganz so optimistisch. In fr\u00fcheren, von Privatanlegern getriebenen Zyklen mit geringer Liquidit\u00e4t habe \u201ehei\u00dfes Geld\u201c explosive Kursanstiege befeuert \u2013 und anschlie\u00dfend Kursr\u00fcckg\u00e4nge von -80 Prozent. Heute sieht der Markt anders aus: Der wachsende Anteil institutioneller Anleger und die gestiegene Marktkapitalisierung d\u00e4mpfen die Volatilit\u00e4t \u2013 nach oben wie nach unten. Das gilt allerdings in erster Linie f\u00fcr Bitcoin, denn dort landet das Geld der Gro\u00dfanleger. Die meisten Altcoins bleiben dagegen Spielball der Spekulanten und deshalb deutlich riskanter.<\/p>\n<p>Das bedeutet: Manche der alternativen Kryptos werden im Bullrun kr\u00e4ftig zulegen \u2013 aber genauso heftig wieder abst\u00fcrzen. Das legt zumindest die Vergangenheit nahe. Die gr\u00f6\u00dfte Wahrscheinlichkeit f\u00fcr eine nachhaltige Wertentwicklung bietet die Krypto-Leitw\u00e4hrung selbst. Was man ber\u00fccksichtigen sollte: Jus Prognose schlie\u00dft heftige Korrekturen nicht aus. Bloomberg beispielsweise warnt: Trader bauen parallel zur Rallye massiv gehebelte Wetten auf \u2013 kurzfristig sind intensive Kursschwankungen wahrscheinlich. Wer auf ein 5x hofft, muss auf dem Weg dorthin also R\u00fccksetzer aushalten k\u00f6nnen.<\/p>\n<div data-elementor-type=\"section\" data-elementor-id=\"65922\" class=\"elementor elementor-65922\" data-elementor-post-type=\"elementor_library\">\n<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-85af2f4 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"85af2f4\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\">\n<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d8c938e\" data-id=\"d8c938e\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-53aa4a1 elementor-reverse-mobile elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"53aa4a1\" data-element_type=\"section\" data-e-type=\"section\" data-settings='{\"background_background\":\"gradient\"}'>\n<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-0776911\" data-id=\"0776911\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-0b052cb elementor-widget elementor-widget-image\" data-id=\"0b052cb\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"image.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<img decoding=\"async\"src=\"\" title=\"coinbase-logo\" alt=\"coinbase-logo\" loading=\"lazy\">\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-50 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-51f502b\" data-id=\"51f502b\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-e-type=\"column\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-a4705df elementor-absolute elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"a4705df\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-settings='{\"_position\":\"absolute\"}' data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p style=\"font-size: 12px; color: #999999; text-align: center;\">Anzeige<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-95d0a2c elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"95d0a2c\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<h4 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Bitcoin &amp; Co. einfach handeln. <span style=\"color: #216CAD\">Beim Testsieger.<\/span><\/h4>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-f9cdf69 elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"f9cdf69\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<p class=\"sc-ERObt iaSbiG\">Deutschlands erster Kryptoverwahrer.<\/p>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-1006d84 elementor-icon-list--layout-traditional elementor-list-item-link-full_width elementor-widget elementor-widget-icon-list\" data-id=\"1006d84\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"icon-list.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<ul class=\"elementor-icon-list-items\">\n<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-circle\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">+230 Kryptow\u00e4hrungen<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-circle\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">Attraktive Bitcoin-Sparpl\u00e4ne<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<li class=\"elementor-icon-list-item\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-icon\"><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<i aria-hidden=\"true\" class=\"far fa-circle\"><\/i>\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/span><br \/>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-icon-list-text\">Durch die BaFin reguliert<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/li>\n<\/ul><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-dba580b elementor-widget elementor-widget-html\" data-id=\"dba580b\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-e-type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"html.default\">\n<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n<div class=\"button-container\">\n        <a class=\"box-affiliate\" href=\"https:\/\/www.ftd.de\/go\/coinbase\/\" target=\"_blank\">Zu Coinbase*<\/a>\n    <\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/p><\/div>\n<\/section><\/div>\n<h3>\u201eShielded Bitcoin\u201c: Wer braucht da noch Zcash?<\/h3>\n<p>Kommt jetzt der anonyme Bitcoin? Ein <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/allocinitxyz\/status\/2103124026214568209\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Forscherteam<\/a> hat gerade \u201eShielded Bitcoin\u201c vorgestellt \u2013 ein Verfahren, das Bitcoin-Zahlungen vollst\u00e4ndig verschl\u00fcsselt und die Blockchain dadurch anonymisiert! Und das nicht zu knapp: Absender, Empf\u00e4nger, Betrag \u2013 alles bleibt verborgen. Bislang ist das Bitcoin-Netzwerk das genaue Gegenteil: Jede Transaktion ist \u00f6ffentlich einsehbar \u2013 nicht selten gelingt es Analysefirmen, die Wallets realen Personen zuordnen. Genau diese L\u00fccke hat Privacy-Coins wie Zcash (ZEC) oder Monero (XMR) gro\u00df gemacht. Der Clou an \u201eShielded Bitcoin\u201c: BTC selbst bleibt dabei unangetastet. Vielmehr werden die Zahlungen verschl\u00fcsselt in gew\u00f6hnliche Bitcoin-Transaktionen verpackt, liefern so Datenschutz obendrauf. \u201eKeine Soft Forks, keine Br\u00fccken, keine Betreiber \u2013 nur Bitcoin\u201c, <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/ClaraShik\/status\/2103126028470169915\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">versichert eine der Autorinnen des Papiers<\/a> \u2013 \u201eund das ist erst der Anfang\u201c. Prominente R\u00fcckendeckung kommt von Twitter-Gr\u00fcnder und Tech-Milliard\u00e4r Jack Dorsey, der das Projekt auf X verbreitet.<\/p>\n<h3>Bitcoin anonym: Droht ein Verbot?<\/h3>\n<p>Programmierer Nicholas Gregory <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/gregory_nico\/status\/2103159187618357428\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">zieht allerdings einen heiklen Vergleich<\/a>: Er erkennt darin \u201edieselbe Mixer-Logik wie bei Tornado Cash\u201c. Das vermutete Problem: 2022 haben die USA die Nutzung des Anonymisierungsdienstes verboten, die Entwickler sind vor Gericht gelandet. Das Verbot ist inzwischen zwar aufgehoben, die Strafverfahren laufen aber weiter \u2013 Mitgr\u00fcnder Roman Storm drohen bis zu 40 Jahre Haft. Erwartet Shielded Bitcoin ein \u00e4hnliches Schicksal? <a href=\"https:\/\/x.com\/nevernotrunout\/status\/2103282020768198785\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Die Entwickler widersprechen<\/a>: Das Verfahren sei \u201ekein Mixer\u201c und in der Architektur \u201en\u00e4her an Zcash\u201c. Ob der Gesetzgeber das genauso sieht, bleibt abzuwarten.<img decoding=\"async\"src=\"\" alt=\"\" width=\"1\" height=\"1\"><\/p>\n<p>F\u00fcr Zcash &amp; Co. wird es so oder so eng: Bietet Bitcoin selbst Privatsph\u00e4re, l\u00f6st sich ihr einziges Verkaufsargument in Luft auf. Hinzu kommt: ZEC lebt mit einem Geburtsfehler. Weil die Betr\u00e4ge verschl\u00fcsselt sind, l\u00e4sst sich der Gesamtbestand nicht l\u00fcckenlos pr\u00fcfen. Das wiegt schwer, denn: 2018 wurde ein Programmierfehler entdeckt, mit dem man unbemerkt beliebig viele ZEC erzeugen konnte. Ob ihn jemand ausgenutzt hat, l\u00e4sst sich bis heute nicht zweifelsfrei ausschlie\u00dfen. Die Folge: Niemand wei\u00df, ob es wom\u00f6glich Milliarden ZEC-Coins gibt. Bei Shielded Bitcoin hingegen bleibt die 21-Millionen-Grenze unangetastet \u2013 das System kann keinen einzigen neuen BTC erzeugen.<\/p>\n<p>\u00a0<\/p>\n<p style=\"font-size: 12px;\">Disclaimer:<br \/>\nDer Autor und\/oder verbundene Personen oder Unternehmen besitzt Kryptocoins, unter anderem auch Bitcoins. Dieser Beitrag stellt eine Meinungs\u00e4u\u00dferung und keine Anlageberatung dar.<\/p>\n<p>Der Beitrag <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ftd.de\/kryptowaehrungen\/bitcoin-prognose-plus-400-prozent-im-anmarsch-wann-fallen-die-100000-dollar\/\">Bitcoin Prognose: Plus 400 Prozent im Anmarsch! Wann fallen die 100.000 Dollar?<\/a> erschien zuerst auf <a href=\"https:\/\/www.ftd.de\/\">ftd.de<\/a>.<\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>On-Chain-Daten zeigen: Bitcoin-Anleger sind mehrheitlich im Plus. (KI-Bild: Magnific.com, gritsakelina) Bitcoin (BTC) legt binnen 4 Wochen fast 20.000 Dollar zu \u2013 und der Chef des renommierten Analysehauses CryptoQuant sieht die Bullen trampeln: Ein Gewinn von 3x bis 5x sei in diesem Zyklus drin. Das entspricht im Idealfall einem Anstieg um 400 Prozent. Gilt das auch [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":11,"featured_media":144155,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"default","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[22,1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-144154","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-ft","category-topstory"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144154","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/11"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=144154"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/144154\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/144155"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=144154"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=144154"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/news.abusizz.ch\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=144154"}],"curies":[{"name":"what","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}